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  1. 当前位置: 牛股配资网 > 配资炒股技巧 > 中国经济发展趋势之2018年下半年发展趋势

    中国经济发展趋势之2018年下半年发展趋势

    2020-05-23 0条评论

    摘[zhai]要[yao]: 在[zai]2018年[nian]上[shang]半[ban]年[nian],虽[sui]然[ran]中[zhong]国[guo]经[jing]济[ji]发[fa]展[zhan]趋[qu]势[shi]面[mian]对[dui]着[zhou]非[fei]常[chang]复[fu]杂[za]的[de]国[guo]内[na]外[wai]形[xing]势[shi],依[yi]然[ran]是[shi]比[bi]较[jiao]稳[wen]中[zhong]向[xiang]好[hao]的[de]发[fa]展[zhan]态[tai]势[shi],但[dan]是[shi]依[yi]然[ran]面[mian]对[dui]着[zhou]不[bu]少[shao]的[de]挑[tao]战[zhan]。接[jie]下[xia]来[lai]为[wei]大[da]家[jia]介[jie]绍[shao]"[百[bai]股[gu]票[piao]]评[ping]论[lun]中[zhong]国[guo]经[jing]济[ji]发[fa]展[zhan]趋[qu]势[shi]之[zhi]2018年[nian]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]发[fa]展[zhan]趋[qu]势[shi]"不[bu]懂[dong]的[de]就[jiu]来[lai]看[kan]看[kan]吧[ba]
    中[zhong]国[guo]经[jing]济[ji百股票]发[fa]展[zhan]趋[qu]势[shi]之[zhi]2018年[nian]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]发[fa]展[zhan]趋[qu]势[shi]

      在[zai]2018年[nian]上[shang]半[ban]年[nian],虽[sui]然[ran]中[zhong]国[guo]经[jing]济[ji]发[fa]展[zhan]趋[qu]势[shi]面[mian]对[dui]着[zhou]非[fei]常[chang]复[fu]杂[za]的[de]国[guo]内[na]外[wai]形[xing]势[shi],依[yi]然[ran]是[shi]比[bi]较[jiao]稳[wen]中[zhong]向[xiang]好[hao]的[de]发[fa]展[zhan]态[tai]势[shi],但[dan]是[shi]依[yi]然[ran]面[mian]对[dui]着[zhou]不[bu]少[shao]的[de]挑[tao]战[zhan]。从[cong]5月[yue]份[fen]的[de]宏[hong]观[guan]经[jing]济[ji]数[shu]据[ju]中[zhong]可[ke]以[yi]上[shang]看[kan]出[chu],随[sui]着[zhou]中[zhong]美[mei]贸[mao]易[yi]摩[mo]擦[ca]的[de]上[shang]升[sheng],市[shi]场[chang]上[shang]出[chu]现[xian]了[liao]一[yi]定[ding]的[de]悲[bei]观[guan]情[qing]绪[xu],但[dan]是[shi]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]宏[hong]观[guan]经[jing]济[ji]的[de]发[fa]展[zhan]依[yi]然[ran]保[bao]持[chi]平[ping]稳[wen]运[yun]行[xing]的[de]大[da]势[shi]是[shi]不[bu]变[bian]的[de]。对[dui]于[yu]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]的[de]中[zhong]国[guo]经[jing]济[ji]发[fa]展[zhan]趋[qu]势[shi]具[ju]体[ti]如[ru]下[xia]:

      1、工[gong]业[ye]仍[reng]然[ran]处[chu]于[yu]比[bi]较[jiao]快[kuai]速[su]的[de]发[fa]展[zhan]

      下[xia]半[ban]年[nian],周[zhou]期[qi]类[lei]的[de]行[xing]业[ye]和[he]高[gao]技[ji]术[shu]产[chan]业[ye]仍[reng]然[ran]会[hui]处[chu]于[yu]高[gao]速[su]发[fa]展[zhan]的[de]阶[jie]段[duan]。因[yin]为[wei]受[shou]到[dao]大[da]宗[zong]商[shang]品[pin]价[jia]格[ge]的[de]持[chi]续[xu]上[shang]涨[zhang]影[ying]响[xiang],周[zhou]期[qi]性[xing]行[xing]业[ye]的[de]增[zeng]速[su]从[cong]上[shang]年[nian]底[di]的[de]0.8%上[shang]涨[zhang]到[dao]2018年[nian]4月[yue]份[fen]的[de]3.3%,对[dui]于[yu]整[zheng]体[ti]工[gong]业[ye]的[de]回[hui]升[sheng]贡[gong]献[xian]率[lv]达[da]到[dao]了[liao]90%。因[yin]此[ci]在[zai]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian],大[da]宗[zong]商[shang]品[pin]价[jia]格[ge]仍[reng]然[ran]会[hui]保[bao]持[chi]上[shang]涨[zhang]趋[qu]势[shi],周[zhou]期[qi]性[xing]的[de]产[chan]业[ye]依[yi]然[ran]保[bao]持[chi]现[xian]在[zai]的[de]发[fa]展[zhan]速[su]度[du]。在[zai]转[zhuan]型[xing]和[he]研[yan]发[fa]投[tou]入[ru]的[de]刺[ci]激[ji]下[xia],搞[gao]技[ji]术[shu]产[chan]业[ye]也[ye]将[jiang]会[hui]保[bao]持[chi]比[bi]较[jiao]平[ping]稳[wen]的[de]增[zeng]长[chang]。此[ci]外[wai],因[yin]为[wei]基[ji]建[jian]投[tou]资[zi]的[de]缓[huan]解[jie]也[ye]将[jiang]会[hui]为[wei]工[gong]业[ye]的[de]发[fa]展[zhan]提[ti]供[gong]支[zhi]撑[cheng]。下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]地[di]方[fang]债[zhai]发[fa]行[xing]将[jiang]会[hui]加[jia]快[kuai],对[dui]于[yu]基[ji]础[chu]建[jian]设[she]的[de]资[zi]金[jin]将[jiang]会[hui]受[shou]到[dao]缓[huan]解[jie]。

      2、服[fu]务[wu]业[ye]的[de]增[zeng]长[chang]将[jiang]会[hui]更[geng]有[you]亮[liang]色[se]

      在[zai]2018年[nian]5月[yue]份[fen],服[fu]务[wu]业[ye]的[de]商[shang]务[wu]活[huo]动[dong]指[zhi]数[shu]为[wei]54%,相[xiang]比[bi]上[shang]年[nian]已[yi]经[jing]提[ti]高[gao]了[liao]0.5个[ge]百[bai]分[fen]点[dian];航[hang]空[kong]运[yun]输[shu]、邮[you]政[zheng]快[kuai]递[di]、电[dian]信[xin]、互[hu]联[lian]网[wang]软[ruan]件[jian]等[deng]处[chu]于[yu]高[gao]位[wei]景[jing]气[qi]区[qu]间[jian]。因[yin]此[ci]在[zai]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian],主[zhu]要[yao]的[de]行[xing]业[ye]的[de]发[fa]展[zhan]依[yi]然[ran]是[shi]保[bao]持[chi]高[gao]速[su]增[zeng]长[chang]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]。

      3、国[guo]内[na]投[tou]资[zi]将[jiang]出[chu]现[xian]回[hui]升[sheng]走[zou]势[shi]

      (1) 投[tou]资[zi]速[su]度[du]提[ti]升[sheng],主[zhu]要[yao]是[shi]因[yin]为[wei]今[jin]年[nian]财[cai]务[wu]整[zheng]顿[dun]和[he]金[jin]融[rong]监[jian]管[guan]的[de]影[ying]响[xiang]。基[ji]础[chu]建[jian]设[she]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]压[ya]力[li]将[jiang]会[hui]在[zai]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]得[de]到[dao]缓[huan]解[jie],下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]投[tou]资[zi]速[su]度[du]将[jiang]会[hui]加[jia]快[kuai]。

      (2) 房[fang]地[di]产[chan]开[kai]发[fa]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]将[jiang]会[hui]出[chu]现[xian]回[hui]落[luo]。2018年[nian]1月[yue]份[fen]到[dao]5月[yue]份[fen]房[fang]地[di]产[chan]开[kai]发[fa]资[zi]金[jin]来[lai]源[yuan]增[zeng]长[chang]仅[jin]为[wei]5.1%,仅[jin]为[wei]去[qu]年[nian]的[de]一[yi]半[ban],预[yu]计[ji]在[zai]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]依[yi]然[ran]是[shi]回[hui]落[luo]走[zou]势[shi]。

      (3)制[zhi]造[zao]业[ye]投[tou]资[zi]将[jiang]出[chu]现[xian]上[shang]行[xing]。主[zhu]要[yao]产[chan]生[sheng]这[zhe]种[zhong]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]原[yuan]因[yin]是[shi]上[shang]半[ban]年[nian]民[min]间[jian]投[tou]资[zi]的[de]增[zeng]长[chang]。目[mu]前[qian]企[qi]业[ye]的[de]利[li]润[run]状[zhuang]况[kuang]较[jiao]好[hao]。再[zai]加[jia]上[shang]自[zi]主[zhu]创[chuang]新[xin]能[nen]力[li]因[yin]为[wei]受[shou]到[dao]贸[mao]易[yi]战[zhan]的[de]影[ying]响[xiang]将[jiang]会[hui]被[bei]提[ti]升[sheng百股票]。这[zhe]对[dui]于[yu]制[zhi]造[zao]业[ye]将[jiang]会[hui]是[shi]促[chun]进[jin]的[de]作[zuo]用[yong]。

      4、物[wu]价[jia]总[zong]体[ti]平[ping]稳[wen]

      (1)CPI将[jiang]会[hui]出[chu]现[xian]上[shang]亿[yi]走[zou]势[shi]。在[zai]5月[yue]份[fen]猪[zhu]肉[rou]出[chu]现[xian]回[hui]升[sheng],因[yin]此[ci]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]的[de]猪[zhu]肉[rou]价[jia]格[ge]将[jiang]会[hui]进[jin]一[yi]步[bu]修[xiu]复[fu];另[ling]外[wai]就[jiu]是[shi]央[yang]行[xing]公[gong]布[bu]的[de]储[chu]户[hu]调[diao]查[cha]显[xian]示[shi]在[zai]春[chun]节[jie]期[qi]间[jian]出[chu]去[qu]旅[lv]游[you]的[de]人[ren]数[shu]将[jiang]会[hui]出[chu]现[xian]上[shang]涨[zhang]。受[shou]到[dao]假[jia]期[qi]影[ying]响[xiang]的[d百股票e]CPI指[zhi]数[shu]将[jiang]会[hui]高[gao]于[yu]上[shang]半[ban]年[nian]。

      (2)PPI的[de]增[zeng]速[su]将[jiang]会[hui]回[hui]落[luo]。原[yuan]油[you]与[yu]钢[gang]材[cai]的[de]影[ying]响[xiang]是[shi]最[zui]主[zhu]要[yao]的[de]因[yin]素[su]。在[zai]1月[yue]份[fen]到[dao]5月[yue]份[fen]钢[gang]材[cai]的[de]需[xu]求[qiu]出[chu]现[xian]的[de]改[gai]变[bian],因[yin]此[ci]在[zai]四[si]季[ji]度[du]的[de]时[shi]候[hou]将[jiang]会[hui]出[chu]现[xian]回[hui]落[luo]的[de]走[zou]势[shi];再[zai]有[you]就[jiu]是[shi]原[yuan]油[you]出[chu]现[xian]了[liao]一[yi]定[ding]的[de]供[gong]需[xu]缺[que]口[kou],依[yi]然[ran]还[huai]会[hui]出[chu]现[xian]上[shang]涨[zhang]的[de]走[zou]势[shi]。两[liang]者[zhe]相[xiang]叠[die]加[jia],预[yu]计[ji]下[xia]半[ban]年[nian]的[de]PPI将[jiang]会[hui]出[chu]现[xian]回[hui]落[luo]。



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